NamePolitics

Daniel

sits middle of the pack

liberaltypical nameconservative
Score
−0.09
More liberal than
36% of names
Measured from
77,424 contributors
more liberalevery scored namemore conservative

That ranking compares Daniel with other names. The typical name scores −0.22, because people who donate to campaigns lean left as a group, so a name can sit left of zero and still be middle of the pack. The party splits below use a different yardstick again: each one is measured against an even fifty-fifty.

DIME contributor ideal points, 1979-2014. Negative is liberal, positive conservative.

Daniel versus Dan

People who go by Dan rather than Daniel sit 0.21 to the right of the full name. It is the same name. The difference is what people choose to be called.

Daniel
liberalconservative
Dan
liberalconservative

How does Daniel compare with someone else's name?

Party, by population

Different groups of people, measured in different ways. They do not always agree, and the disagreement is usually the interesting part.

Campaign donors, nationwide60,858 people
52% Democratic48% Republican

Federal contributions, 2016 to 2026. Donors skew older and wealthier than the country.

Registered voters, North Carolina21,212 people
35% Democratic65% Republican

Actual party registration, which is a choice people make at the DMV rather than with a chequebook.

Registered voters, Florida60,806 people
38% Democratic62% Republican

Party registration again, in a state with a very different mix of people. Florida and North Carolina agree on which way a name leans 88% of the time.

Primary voters, Ohio16,766 people
33% Democratic67% Republican

Ohio has no party registration, so this is the last primary ballot each voter chose to pull.

Another set of donor records points the same way. Among Washington state and local donors, Daniel is 52% Democratic where that pool averages 55%, across 2,309 people. Worth a flag: among donors to 527 organisations, Daniel tilts the other way. It is 78% Democratic there, but that pool averages 71% overall, so Daniel sits left of its centre while the federal records put it right of theirs.

Is it the name, or the people who have it?

Names carry age, sex and ethnicity, and those predict politics on their own. Comparing every Daniel in North Carolina against other registrants of the same age, sex and race leaves +0.03 that the demographics do not explain. For this name, almost nothing survives: the name is standing in for who happens to carry it.

Related spellings

  • Dan
    liberalconservative
  • Danny
    liberalconservative
  • Dani
    liberalconservative
  • Dann
    liberalconservative
  • Danial
    liberalconservative

Where Daniel leans differently

StateDemocratic share of donorsAgainst that state’s own donors
CA66%+0.06
NY71%−0.01
FL35%−0.14
TX37%−0.04
PA51%−0.13
IL57%−0.15
MA75%−0.15
WA62%−0.13

The right column compares Daniel with other donors in the same state, so it is not just telling you which states are Democratic.

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